Climate Outlook for Suriname
Climate Outlook October 2023 - March 2024
The Long Dry season will last until the beginning of December and the short rainy season starts at the beginning of December. The Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrates towards the South during the rainy season.
El Niño condition continues this season. A strengthen heat stress and high temperatures during the dry season. Heat and drought are a concern and flood potential in December. Drought warning by the end of December.
Precipitation Outlook
Source: Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH)
October-November –December (OND) 2023
A high likelihood of below-average precipitation.
January-February-March (JFM) 2024.
Precipitation will be according to climatology.
Temperature Outlook
Source: Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH)
October-November – December (OND) 2023
The temperatures are most likely higher than normal.
January-February-March (JFM)2024
A high likelihood of above-normal temperature.
Drought Outlook by the end of December 2023
Source: Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH)
Short-term drought warning by the end of December 2023
Maximum Temperature August 2023
Monthly Rainfall September 2023
The Maximum temperature for August 2023 varied from 30.4 – 35.1 0C. South East of Suriname experienced the highest maximum temperature of 35.1 0C.
The rainfall map for September 2023 showed that the monthly rainfall varied between 20.3 mm and 63.7 mm. Part of the coast of Suriname has experienced relatively wetter conditions than the other parts of the country. September 2023 was a dry month.
Discussion
El Niño condition will remain in place. High temperatures and heat stress will prevail during the season. Drought is evolving and a short-term drought will manifest by the end of December 2023. Rainfall is expected to be below normal. However, flood potential is still present in December.
Climate Advisory
It is expected that the dry season will be hotter and drier. There is less water available. Conserve water. Preserve water for agriculture activities and keep animal shelters cool. Drink enough water during the day.
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